Table of Contents
How Long Does Everything in Your Home Last?
One of the most useful things you can know as a homeowner is when things are going to wear out. Not because you can stop it from happening, but because anticipating it puts you in a planning posture instead of an emergency posture. An HVAC system that dies unexpectedly in August costs the same to replace as one you knew was coming — but the emergency replacement happens faster, with less time to get competitive quotes, and usually at a premium.
What follows is a comprehensive guide to the expected lifespans of major home systems and components, along with the warning signs that indicate you're approaching the end of the line.
Roofing
3-tab asphalt shingles: 15–20 years
Architectural (dimensional) asphalt shingles: 25–30 years
Metal roofing: 40–70 years
Clay or concrete tile: 50+ years
Wood shake: 20–30 years (highly dependent on climate and maintenance)
Warning signs: curling or cupping shingles, granule loss (check your gutters — excessive granules mean the shingles are shedding protective coating), missing shingles, dark staining, daylight visible in the attic. Roof replacement is one of the largest homeowner expenses: $8,000–$25,000+ depending on materials, size, and complexity.
HVAC Systems
Central air conditioning: 15–20 years
Gas furnace: 20–30 years
Heat pump: 10–15 years
Boiler: 15–30 years (electric shorter, gas longer)
Window AC units: 8–10 years
Warning signs: uneven heating or cooling, unusual noises (grinding, banging, squealing), rising energy bills without explanation, frequent cycling, visible rust or corrosion. Annual professional maintenance extends life significantly. A furnace that's been serviced every year will last longer than one that hasn't. Replacement costs: $4,000–$15,000 for a full system replacement.
Water Heater
Traditional tank water heater (gas): 8–12 years
Traditional tank water heater (electric): 10–15 years
Tankless water heater: 20+ years
Heat pump water heater: 10–15 years
Warning signs: rust-colored water, rumbling or popping sounds during heating (sediment buildup), water around the base of the unit, inconsistent hot water supply, visible corrosion on the tank or connections. Annual flushing extends life in hard-water areas. Replacement: $900–$3,000 for tank, $1,500–$4,000 for tankless installed.
Plumbing
Copper supply pipes: 50+ years
Galvanized steel supply pipes: 20–50 years (varies widely — older galvanized pipes are prone to corrosion and reduced flow)
PVC drain pipes: 25–40 years
Cast iron drain pipes: 50–100 years
Water supply lines to fixtures (braided stainless): 10 years (replace proactively — these lines are a leading cause of major water damage when they fail)
The main thing to know about plumbing is that the supply lines to individual fixtures are the most failure-prone and most ignored component. Those braided stainless hoses under your sink and behind your toilet? Replace them every 10 years whether they look fine or not. The cost is under $20 per line. A burst supply line on a second floor can cause tens of thousands in damage.
Electrical
Wiring (copper): 50–100 years
Wiring (aluminum — common in homes built 1965–1973): requires inspection; can be problematic at connections
Electrical panel (circuit breaker): 25–40 years
Light switches and outlets: 15–25 years
Warning signs for electrical issues: frequently tripping breakers, flickering lights, discoloration or warm outlets, burning smell, breakers that won't reset. If your home has a Federal Pacific Stab-Lok or Zinsco electrical panel, have it evaluated by an electrician — these brands have documented reliability and safety concerns and many electricians recommend proactive replacement.
Appliances
Refrigerator: 10–18 years
Dishwasher: 9–12 years
Range/oven (electric): 13–15 years
Range/oven (gas): 15–17 years
Microwave: 9 years
Washing machine: 10–14 years
Dryer: 13 years
Garbage disposal: 8–12 years
Appliances are the most unpredictable category — some fail at 8 years, some last 20. Extended warranties on appliances over $1,000 are worth considering, particularly for refrigerators and washing machines, which tend to have expensive repair parts.
Exterior
Wood siding (with maintenance): 20–40 years
Vinyl siding: 25–40 years
Fiber cement siding: 25–40 years
Brick exterior: 100+ years (mortar may need tuck-pointing every 25–50 years)
Exterior paint (on wood): 5–10 years depending on climate and sun exposure
Composite decking: 25–30 years
Pressure-treated wood deck: 15–25 years with maintenance
Concrete driveway: 25–50 years
Asphalt driveway: 20–30 years (seal every 3–5 years to extend)
Windows and Doors
Wood windows: 20–50 years
Vinyl windows: 20–40 years
Aluminum windows: 15–20 years
Double-pane seal failure (foggy windows): 10–20 years (seals fail before the window frame)
Exterior doors (fiberglass): 30+ years
Exterior doors (wood): 30+ years with maintenance
Garage door: 15–30 years
Garage door opener: 10–15 years
Interior
Carpet: 5–15 years (depends on traffic and quality)
Hardwood floors: 25–100 years (can be refinished multiple times)
Laminate flooring: 15–25 years
Tile (properly installed): 75–100+ years
Interior paint: 5–10 years in high-traffic areas
Kitchen cabinets: 50+ years (hardware and finishes wear sooner)
Countertops (granite/quartz): 25–100+ years
Countertops (laminate): 10–20 years
The Most Important Number
If you can only track one number, track the age of your water heater. It's the system most likely to fail catastrophically (flooding) without obvious warning, it has the clearest lifespan (8–12 years for a tank unit), and replacement is straightforward. If you don't know how old your water heater is, look at the serial number on the unit — most manufacturers encode the manufacture date in the first few characters, and manufacturer websites provide decoding guides.
Beyond the water heater, build a simple spreadsheet of your major systems, their approximate age, and their expected lifespan. KotiCare does this automatically from your inspection report — tracking every system’s age and condition, surfacing reminders before failures occur, and connecting you with vetted contractors when work is needed. Whether you use a tool like KotiCare or build a manual tracker, this document alone will transform your home maintenance from reactive to proactive.